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Spain and the U.S. before July 4: from the historical alliance to the new global order

Business pragmatism and cooperation in cutting-edge projects act as a counterbalance to the situational political distancing between both administrations

Raúl Pelegrín by Raúl Pelegrín
4 de July de 2026
in Geopolitics
Imagen: btgbtg / iStock

Imagen: btgbtg / iStock

The commemoration of the Independence Day of the United States this July 4, 2026, occurs at a moment of profound duality for relations between Madrid and Washington. The atmosphere is marked by unprecedented geopolitical complexity, where the solidity of economic and business ties acts as the necessary counterpoint to recent political tensions. In this article, we analyze how the dense network of bilateral interests sustains an alliance that, despite the circumstantial challenges, remains a strategic pillar for Spain.

The celebration of the 250th anniversary of the declaration of independence of the United States comes after months of high diplomatic tension. The imposition of tariffs, the fissures within the Atlantic Alliance regarding defense spending, the firm opposition to military intervention in Iran, the warning of greater trade sanctions, and the threat of troop withdrawal are just some of the issues that highlight this political distancing between both administrations. However, the reality on the ground shows that, even in the midst of a political crisis, the channels of technical cooperation remain open.

And this is evidenced by the economic figures, which describe a relationship of astonishing depth. The United States has consolidated itself as the main destination for Spanish investment abroad. In 2024, Spanish companies had assets on U.S. soil worth more than €102.6 billion, representing 15.8% of the total stock of Spain’s investment outside its borders.

This presence is especially dominant in regulated sectors of high strategic value. Energy leads this position with €39 billion, followed by financial activities (€25.6 billion) and infrastructure (€10.8 billion). The resilience of this financial flow is such that, between 2019 and 2023, direct foreign investment from the United States in Spain increased by almost 77%, accounting for 26.9% of the total investment received by the country.

But the current landscape of geopolitical uncertainty also translates into some caution in the optimism conveyed by companies. According to the first Barometer on the Climate and Perspectives of Spanish Investment in the U.S., 56% of Spanish companies consider that the business climate is “good” or “excellent”. An overwhelming 96% of companies plan to maintain their presence in the country over the next five years, and 63% intend to make new investments.

However, the shadow of protectionism does not go unnoticed. 58% of companies identify tariffs as the main risk for their operations in 2026. This concern is particularly acute in regions such as Andalusia and Catalonia, whose food sectors (with olive oil at the forefront) and chemical products are especially vulnerable to changes in Washington’s trade policy.

For all these reasons, the landscape of goods exchange shows signs of fatigue. In 2025, Spanish exports to the U.S. fell by 8%, amounting to €16.716 billion. In contrast, imports grew by 7%, driven mainly by the purchase of gas and medicines. This gap has widened the trade deficit of Spain with the United States by 34.4%, reaching €13.458 billion.

In the face of these data, “low-profile” or technical diplomacy has made significant progress. In 2024, a new Social Security Agreement was signed that improves the protection of thousands of workers in both countries, stimulating labor mobility. Likewise, the signing of agreements for cooperation in science and technology —especially in fusion energy and the DUNE neutrino experiment— underscores that the exchange of knowledge remains a fertile ground untouched by political disputes.

Even in the field of defense, where political friction is greater, industrial symbiosis is undeniable. Recently, six Spanish companies were awarded a framework contract of $100 million for the maintenance and modernization of the Naval Base of Rota. This agreement ensures that the Rota infrastructure remains operational for NATO forces while injecting capital and employment into the local economy of Cádiz and Seville.

As we celebrate this July 4, the lesson for Spanish diplomacy is clear: the relationship with the United States is not a monolithic block that depends solely on the harmony between presidents. It is, rather, a multi-layered structure where the density of business, scientific, and social ties provides a cushion of security against political turbulence.

In a context where Spain seeks its own strategic autonomy within the European Union, the transatlantic bond is redefined as an alliance of mutual economic benefit that survives security crises. The challenge for Madrid on this national day will be to celebrate the common heritage of freedom and independence while pragmatically protecting the interests of its companies in the most relevant market outside the European Union.

Tags: 4th Julydestacada1Featured1SpainUnited States
Raúl Pelegrín

Raúl Pelegrín

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